Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 0.093941 1.470078e-01 0.210073 0.287922 0.379197 0.480956 0.601260
2026-01-04 0.033796 9.254402e-02 0.179335 0.301769 0.459204 0.646725 0.879966
2026-01-11 0.015880 7.468401e-02 0.177417 0.334414 0.546152 0.806271 1.137030
2026-01-18 0.005572 5.909177e-02 0.172328 0.358657 0.620160 0.949314 1.374897
2026-01-25 0.000421 4.120905e-02 0.155956 0.361582 0.662400 1.050236 1.559740
2026-02-01 NaN 2.096666e-02 0.124250 0.334360 0.658897 1.089835 1.666735
2026-02-08 NaN 7.129708e-03 0.092618 0.299228 0.638843 1.104166 1.739188
2026-02-15 NaN 2.180703e-03 0.077206 0.288155 0.651190 1.159474 1.862057
2026-02-22 NaN 6.305858e-04 0.071541 0.294148 0.688635 1.248284 2.027785
2026-03-01 NaN 6.572884e-07 0.062477 0.290916 0.710563 1.315248 2.164949
2026-03-08 NaN NaN 0.049138 0.274512 0.709517 1.349219 2.258320
2026-03-15 NaN NaN 0.052824 0.299070 0.776018 1.478375 2.477273
2026-03-22 NaN NaN 0.056217 0.324504 0.846750 1.617345 2.714482
2026-03-29 NaN NaN 0.054907 0.338008 0.898196 1.730104 2.918669
2026-04-05 NaN NaN 0.061744 0.373011 0.986015 1.894677 3.191603
2026-04-12 NaN NaN 0.064996 0.398618 1.058148 2.037225 3.435775
2026-04-19 NaN NaN 0.060026 0.401737 1.091997 2.125224 3.607714
2026-04-26 NaN NaN 0.044907 0.372883 1.069402 2.131435 3.670196
2026-05-03 NaN NaN 0.029631 0.335561 1.028607 2.109250 3.693103
2026-05-10 NaN NaN 0.023172 0.323774 1.031974 2.150512 3.800529
2026-05-17 NaN NaN 0.021580 0.330155 1.068782 2.241280 3.975250
2026-05-24 NaN NaN 0.018016 0.326714 1.086753 2.303848 4.111560
2026-05-31 NaN NaN 0.012301 0.309232 1.076807 2.323978 4.189510